Why the Dems Really Really, Really Really Really Can’t Jettison BHO for 2012

by YDLM

It’s out there, it’s obvious: If the Dems want to limit their coming historic losses, it might be nice if future history’s most despised modern president wasn’t driving the bandwagon.

Quick questions–

1) What was Barack’s (RCP) approval ratio on Nov. 2, 2010?

45 approve/50 diss.

2) What’s it today?

44 approve/51 diss.

3) Is there any reason the election would be more merciful to Obama and his partisans if it were held today?

No.

4) Could he make it a little or even a lot worse by next year?

Well if anybody can do it, our boy can.

None of that withstanding, 5) why will the Dems never never, ever ever ever be able to get Barack off the tip of their collective index finger, now matter how hard they spasm and wail?

The answer comes from Dr. Sowell:

The black vote was once consistently Republican, from the time of Abraham Lincoln to Herbert Hoover. Even after Franklin D. Roosevelt won over the black vote to the Democrats, it was not considered remarkable when Eisenhower got a higher share of the black vote than any Republican president in recent times has.

It may be years before Republicans can again get a majority of the black vote. But Republicans don’t need to get a majority of the black vote. If they get 20 percent of the black vote, the Democrats are in trouble — and if they get 30 percent, the Democrats have had it in the general elections.

In some close congressional elections, if the Republicans increase their share of the black vote by even modest amounts, that will be the difference between victory and defeat.

The inherent weakness of the Democrat coalition is that (once heavily regional) it has ended up highly sectarian.

If Dems managed to dog Obama out of office, everyone knows it would be a crushing humiliation to blacks, and if a couple dozen percent decided to vote Republican for once or (more likely) just stay home, say goodbye to national mandates for the Democrat party for many cycles to come.

(Here I assume that Barack might (to say the least) have a problem believably pantomiming an agreeable and abject exit.)

So much for Clinton/Cuomo….

….Maybe patent reform would create or save a few billion jobs.

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